WHAT IS ERA?
A model that quickly identifies the areas that are most at risk of epidemics.
WHY IT IS NEEDED?
According to the World Economic Forum, the list of most destructive and costly natural disasters includes infectious diseases. In this regard, Smith et. al (2014) reported that from 2000 to 2010 the count of epidemic events was 3420 in 219 nations. The World Health Organisation stated during a conference in 2017 that between 2011 and early 2017, the count was above 1000 in 172 countries.
Several studies suggest that it is necessary to implement early warning systems that indicate possible outbreaks or increased risks to increase preparedness. Currently in the field of epidemic response, there is a lack of holistic frameworks. Existing frameworks for epidemic response models are built for:
1: Specific disease models
2: Specific category models
3. Nonspecific national models
but do not combine all three elements into one model.
The goal of this project and the Epidemic Framework is to build a Risk Assessment tool for epidemics to increase preparedness and decrease response time at the community level.
HOW WE DO IT?
The project is currently divided into 6 phases as described below:
1: Background research
2: Data Collection for index-based framework
3: Model Creation (statistical assessment/analyses)
4: Model Deployment (create working model/ proof of concept on historical data)
5: Determine transferability & implementation strategies (Identify steps)
6: Deploy in pilot Country (Philippines earmarked)
In particular this tool aims to:
- Identify risk factors at an early stage.
- Create awareness allowing for early warning.
- Building resilience through prevention.
- Predict the contribution of epidemic risk factors.
WHERE DO WE WORK?
We hope to conduct a first pilot integration in the Philippines.
WHEN DID WE START?
The project started on the 2nd of October 2017.
WHO DO WE WORK WITH?
We work with knowledge partners from ERASMUS MEDICAL CENTER, ERASMUS UNIVERSITY , MAASTRICHT UNIVERSITY ,the IFRC might become an implementing partner and UN OCHA Philippines is an important data provider.
MSc Student Public Health
MSc. Student Biomedical Sciences, Environmental Health
Bsc. Health Science
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MSc Student Health Economics & Management
MSc Student Health Sciences