EPI: EPIDEMIC FRAMEWORK

WHY It’s needed.

According to the World Economic Forum, the list of most destructive and costly natural disasters includes infectious diseases. In this regard, Smith et. al (2014) reported that from 2000 to 2010 the count of epidemic events is 3420 in 219 nations. World Health Organisation also stated during a conference in 2017 that between 2011 and early 2017, the count was above 1000 for 172 countries.

Several studies suggest that it is necessary to implement early warning systems that indicate possible outbreaks or increased risks to increase preparedness. Currently in the field of epidemic response there is a lack of holistic frameworks. Existing frameworks for epidemic response models are built for:

1: Specific disease models,

2: Specific category models,

3. Nonspecific national models,

but do not combine all three elements into one model.

Kouadio, Aljunid, Kamigaki, Hammad, & Oshitani, 2012

Liao, Xu, Wang, & Liu, 2017

Han & Drake, 2016 

 

CURRENT GOALS:

The goal of this project and the Epidemic Framework is to build a Risk Assessment tool for epidemics to increase preparedness and decrease response time at the community level. In particular this tool aims to:

  • Identify risk factors at an early stage.
  • Create awareness allowing for early warning.
  • Building resilience through prevention.
  • Predict the contribution of epidemic risk factors.

HOW:

The project is currently divided into 6 phases as described below:

1: Background research

2: Data Collection for index-based framework

3: Model Creation (statistical assessment/analyses)

4: Model Deployment (create working model/ proof of concept on historical data)

5: Determine transferability & implementation strategies (Identify steps)

6: Deploy in pilot Country (Philippines earmarked)


WHEN & WHERE:

The project started 2nd OCT 2017 , with a plan to conduct a pilot integration in the Philippines during 2018.

WHO:

PROJECT LEAD:

510 Data Team, part of NLRC IH

KNOWLEDGE PARTNERS FROM:

WHO,  ERASMUS MEDICAL CENTER, ERASMUS UNIVERSITY, MAASTRICHT UNIVERSITY.

IMPLEMENTING PARTNER:

In discussion with IFRC

DATA PROVIDERS:

UN OCHA PHILIPPINES

MASTER STUDENTS:

Fleur Hierink:

TOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH | UTRECHT UNIVERISTY

Floor Lammers:

HEALTH ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT | ERASMUS UNIVERSITY ROTTERDAM

Carla Meijerink:

HEALTH SCIENCE, SPECIALISATION PUBLIC HEALTH | TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY TWENTE

Ayza Teng:

PUBLIC HEALTH SCIENCE | LUND UNIVERSITY

Bart Veneman:

INTERNATIONAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT | UNIVERSITY OF MANCHESTER

 

VOLUNTEERS:

Rebecca Sunnus:

STUDENT HEALTH POLICY, INNOVATION &  MANAGEMENT  | MAASTRICHT UNIVERSITY

 

 

 

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